ANALYSING GULF STATES FINANCIAL STRATEGIES AND TRENDS

Analysing Gulf states financial strategies and trends

Analysing Gulf states financial strategies and trends

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Sovereign wealth funds are emerging as significant investment tools in the region, diversifying national economies.



A Significant share of the GCC surplus cash is now utilized to advance economic reforms and carry out impressive plans. It is critical to analyse the circumstances that led to these reforms and the change in economic focus. Between 2014 and 2016, a petroleum oversupply made by the coming of new players caused a drastic decrease in oil rates, the steepest in contemporary history. Also, 2020 brought its challenges; the pandemic-induced lockdowns repressed demand, again causing oil rates to drop. To handle the economic blow, Gulf countries resorted to liquidating some foreign assets and offered portions of their foreign exchange reserves. But, these actions proved insufficient, so they additionally borrowed lots of hard currency from Western capital markets. Now, because of the revival in oil prices, these countries are benefiting of the opportunity to beef up their financial standing, paying off external financial obligations and balancing account sheets, a move necessary to improving their creditworthiness.

In previous booms, all that central banking institutions of GCC petrostates wanted had been stable yields and few shocks. They often parked the bucks at Western banks or purchased super-safe government bonds. However, the modern landscape shows a different sort of scenario unfolding, as main banks now get a lesser share of assets when compared with the burgeoning sovereign wealth funds within the area. Recent data shows noteworthy developments, with sovereign wealth funds deciding on a diversified investment approach by going into less conventional assets through low-cost index funds. Furthermore, they have been delving into alternate investments like private equity, real estate, infrastructure and hedge funds. Plus they are also no longer restricting themselves to traditional market avenues. They are supplying debt to fund significant purchases. Furthermore, the trend highlights a strategic shift towards investments in growing domestic and international companies, including renewable energy, electric vehicles, gaming, entertainment, and luxurious holiday resorts to support the tourism sector as Ras Al Khaimah based Benoy Kurien and Haider Ali Khan would likely attest.

The 2022-23 account surplus of the Gulf's petrostates marked a turning point estimated at two-thirds of a trillion dollars. In the past, the majority of this surplus would have gone directly into central banks' foreign currency reserves. Historically, most the surplus from petrostate in the Gulf Cooperation Council GCC would be funnelled straight into foreign exchange reserves as a protective measure, specifically for those countries that tie their currencies to the US dollar. Such reserve are crucial to sustain stability and confidence in the currency during financial booms. However, within the previous several years, central bank reserves have actually hardly grown, which suggests a diversion of the traditional system. Moreover, there is a noticeable lack of interventions in foreign currency markets by these states, indicating that the surplus will be diverted towards alternative areas. Indeed, research shows that billions of dollars of the surplus are being employed in revolutionary ways by different entities such as national governments, main banks, and sovereign wealth funds. These unique methods are repayment of external financial obligations, extending economic help to allies, and acquiring assets both locally and around the globe as Jamie Buchanan in Ras Al Khaimah may likely inform you.

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